2012 congressional election analysis software

A 2008 analysis of ohio presidential election results from 1960 to 2004 found that no other. Us 2012 election data us congress us house and senate elections 2012. Objective to analyze campaign contributions that physicians made from the 1991 to 1992 through the 2011 to 2012 election cycles to republican and democratic candidates in. This dataset is designed for teaching ordered probit. The courts decision demands that congressional dis.

Publications cooperative congressional election study. Contributions to federal candidates, 2012 cycle select a cycle. Congressional election demonstrated a positive effect of an online getoutthevote message on real world voting behavior. Mapping early american elections this project offers a. Elections were held for all 435 seats in the united states house of representatives. Open door for republicans in 2012, the door couldnt have been more wide open for governor romney and republicans to win a signi.

A vote distribution for 1974 north carolina congressional election with gap 0. This instructional module is part of the setups supplementary empirical teaching units in political science series and is featured online. Below is a tally of the money raised and spent through september by the presidential candidates, the national party committees and the primary super pacs whose sole purpose is to support. Mar 10, 20 a spreadsheet of this data can be found here methodology. Click the election links in each state section for more details on the seats where a vote took. Senate while republicans were the majority in the u. Highquality historical data about us congressional elections has long. Democrats had 21 seats up for election, plus 1 independent and 1 independent democrat, while the republicans had only 10 seats up for election.

It is hard to make the argument for one glaring reason that caused republicans to. Maplight analysis of campaign contributions to members of the 1th congress who won election in 2012, from. Hooghe, m, teepe, w 2007 party profiles on the web. Harvard dataverse collection by carl klarner with useful data and tools, including state legislative election returns from 1967 to 2012. B vote distribution for 2006 tennessee congressional election illustrating the meanmedian difference of. Nov 14, 2012 in the opening posting on the 2012 congressional elections, i estimated that the democrats now face a tenseat disadvantage in the house based on that partys share of the popular vote. The congressional majorities that had given obama his legislative successes. Oct 23, 2012 philadelphia, pa, october 23, 2012 azavea, a geospatial analysis gis software development company announces the release redraw the map on redistricting 2012 addendum, a new study that examines how the most recent round of redistricting has affected the geometry and geography of legislative districts in the united states. An analysis of presidential elections, 1964 2012 pdf dec 18, 2014 voting behavior. The campaign, however, could just as well serve as a lesson book for cios engaged in capitalizing on a companys most valuable asset aside from money data.

This analysis is based on a combination of the media exit poll and a new models post election survey conducted election night of 1,000 people who said they had voted. There were a total of 435 seats up for election in 2012. Listed below are examples of past machine failures and how they impacted various elections. The tables under each state heading reflect the house delegation partisan breakdown before and after the election. This dataset is designed for teaching logistic regression. Live results, news, reaction, analysis the denver posts political reporters and staff provide you with live results on election day for colorados congressional races, state ballot initiatives and the presidential election. Publications home of jama and the specialty journals of.

The 2012 election is an instructional module designed to offer students the opportunity to analyze a dataset drawn from the 2012 american national election study anes. The core data for the archive are state, county and district level election returns for all recent. During the presidential election year, partisan dominance of both chambers of the u. Prior to 1962, many states had vastly unequal districts. Learn about ordered probit in stata with data from the. This analysis is based on a combination of the media exit poll and a new models postelection survey conducted election night of 1,000 people who said they had voted. The view from obama campaign hq, plus wrapups from senate races, ballot. Read our analysis of the texas congression redistricting plan c141, which was passed. An analysis of presidential elections, 19642012 pdf behavior. In an election cycle that saw billions spent on ads, we sift through the highlights, as well as the lowlights. Big data, analytics and elections analytics magazine. How obamas team used big data to rally voters mit technology. Dan wagner, the chief analytics officer for obama 2012, led the.

United states congress elections, 2012 ballotpedia. Azavea releases study on compactness of redistricted u. An analysis of the logfiles of nonpartisan interactive political internet sites in the 2003 and 2004 election campaigns in. The democrats gained republicanheld seats in massachusetts and indiana and one from an independent democrat in connect. Here, we report results from a replication of the experiment conducted during the u.

Heading into the election, democrats controlled the u. State analysis would estimate that redistricting likely changed which party won the election in 2012 from republican to democratic. B vote distribution for 2006 tennessee congressional election. The 2012 election is an instructional module designed to offer students the opportunity to analyze a dataset drawn. Opinion the great gerrymander of 2012 the new york times. United states congressional elections results, 2012. Objective to analyze campaign contributions that physicians made from the 1991 to 1992 through the 2011 to 2012 election cycles to republican and democratic candidates in presidential and congressional races and to partisan organizations, including party committees and super political action committees super pacs. How to gerrymander your way to a huge election victory. For many states we also have results from a large number of additional offices and. He asked the dncs technology department to develop software that could turn. Using data from the cooperative congressional election study 20122016, i find that among those who vote in the national november elections, orphans, or voters without a copartisan. Realclearpolitics election other 2012 generic congressional vote.

Using data from the cooperative congressional election study 20122016, i find that among those who vote in the national november elections, orphans, or voters without a copartisan candidate on the ballot are more likely to undervote, opting out of voting in their congressional race. The election demonstrated that analytics fueled by big data and advancement in computing technology has become an integral part of the presidential. Azteca america readies unprecedented live coverage of 2012. The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an analysis of whether survey respondents believe that laws covering the sale of firearms should be more strict, kept as they are, or less strict. This was a perfect opportunity to regain the white house and the senate. Senate and gubernatorial elections from 1990 to the present. It coincided with the reelection of president barack obama. The use of technology in the 2012 presidential election has generated scores of articles, and without a doubt will be analyzed for years to come by political historians.

This was the first congressional election using the congressional districts that were apportioned based on the 2010 census. Future updates will include historical data for some states and where possible, 2010 and 2012 data. Below is a tally of the money raised and spent through september by the presidential candidates, the national party committees and the primary super pacs whose sole purpose is to support a. Learn about logistic regression in r with data from the. National journal political analyst charlie cook and guests discuss the 2012 election and the first presidential debate, the current political environment, top congressional races, and the. Elections were also held for the delegates from the district of columbia and five major u. A spreadsheet of this data can be found here methodology. Nov 14, 2012 us 2012 election data us congress us house and senate elections 2012. Senate prediction 2012 election day final november 6th, 2012, 11. The election demonstrated that analytics fueled by big data and advancement in computing technology has become an integral part of the presidential campaign process.

The 2012 election and the changing face of politics sabato, larry j. This site presents data and analysis of womens voting behavior, including statistics on turnout and the gender gap in. Philadelphia, pa, october 23, 2012 azavea, a geospatial analysis gis software development company announces the release redraw the map on redistricting 2012. The method above suggests that we can attribute the loss of perhaps two of these seats to the effects of reapportionment itself. Congress were up for election on november 6, 2012 heading into the election, democrats controlled the u. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%. United states congressional elections results, 2012 ballotpedia. The 2012 united states senate elections were held november 6, 2012, with 33 of the 100 seats in the senate being contested in regular elections whose winners would serve sixyear terms beginning january 3, 20, with the 1th congress. House seats were up for election on november 6, 2012 this page contains congressional election results the tables under each state heading reflect the.

Election returns for all congressional elections from 1946 to 1996. We are planning openprecincts, a project to provide open precinct geography, voting data, and redistricting software to all citizens. The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an. Mapping early american elections this project offers a window into the formative era of american politics by producing interactive maps and visualizations of congressional and state legislative elections from. Nov 29, 2012 democrats have been organizing and never stopped since the last election in 2008. In the opening posting on the 2012 congressional elections, i estimated that the democrats now face a tenseat disadvantage in the house based on that partys share of the. Despite disapproval of congress hitting an alltime high, there were surprisingly few upsets in the u. Feb 03, 20 the great gerrymander of 2012 came 200 years after the first use of this curious word, which comes from the salamandershaped districts signed into law by governor elbridge gerry of massachusetts. Publications home of jama and the specialty journals of the. Live results, news, reaction, analysis the denver posts political reporters and staff provide you with live results on election day for colorados congressional. In spite of the fact that getoutthevote messages typically yield smaller effects during highstakes. Following a june 2009 election, officials in pennington county, south dakota, discovered a.

Carr 1962 was the first step of the supreme courts role in redistricting. Krosnick, katie gera, david yeager, and michael mcdonald. The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an analysis of whether survey respondents say yes or no when asked whether they support granting legal status to all illegal immigrants who have held jobs and paid taxes in the u. The effects of reapportionment politics by the numbers. The 2012 united states house of representatives elections were held on tuesday, november 6, 2012. Two years after barack obamas election as president, democrats suffered. House seats were up for election on november 6, 2012. The following table shows the margin of victory for each race winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the toptwo vote getters. Quantifying gerrymandering using the vote distribution. The 2012 election and the changing face of politics. An analysis of the 2012 presidential elections note. Political operatives have reported that after barack obamas election in 2008 many of his key campaign offices in battleground states like ohio and florida never closed down. Elections were held for all 435 seats in the united states house of. Maplight analysis of campaign contributions to members of the 1th congress who won election in 2012, from january 1, 2011december 31, 2012, based on latest available data from the fec as of february, 20.

Entertainment software assn contributions to federal. Mar 01, 2018 a vote distribution for 1974 north carolina congressional election with gap 0. This dataset contains precinctlevel returns for elections to the u. Sabato offers a number of essays from political writers on the 2012 election focusing on polls and research of data from the most recent election. As of october 2012 we now have 2008 presidential data for all states but oregon. The impact of redistricting on competition in state house elections. Historical voting patterns in the old district and the new are measured using the data and methods described in appendix a of redistricting and congressional control. Although democratic candidates received a nationwide plurality of more than 1. We aim to provide the firstever free, comprehensive resource for state and local redistricting.

In an election cycle that saw billions spent on ads, we sift through the highlights, as well as. This was the first congressional election using districts drawn up based on the 2010 united states census. Analysis and lessons from the 2012 presidential election. This more concise statement of wkbencoded geometry is common in database software such as. Data from the 2010 cooperative congressional election study are examined to determine the extent to which partisan polarization is a popular as well as an elite phenomenon. Complementing the revitalization of electoral systems analysis, most of. Prnewswire azteca america is pleased to announce unprecedented live coverage of the 2012 presidential and congressional elections reported by an extensive.

Levels of undervoting are nearly 20 percentage points. The great gerrymander of 2012 came 200 years after the first use of this curious word, which comes from the salamandershaped districts signed into law by governor elbridge. C vote distribution for the 2012 indiana congressional election showing a meanmedian difference of 0. About us research programs find an expert careers contact.